If big bets on more sophisticated compute, data availability and architecture breakthroughs don’t pay off it will produce political as well as economic fallout.
We are still at an early stage of application though. Like electricity, AI is a general purpose technology. And while electricity was widely used in factories at the end of the 19th century, it took another 30-40 years until Henry Ford found out how electricity can be put to best use in a factory setting. We're still missing the "Henry Ford moment" in AI. Otherwise, I'd agree: From a policy perspective, it seems that the focus on "superintelligence" is overblown: https://danielflorian.substack.com/p/we-should-prepare-for-mass-intelligence
We are still at an early stage of application though. Like electricity, AI is a general purpose technology. And while electricity was widely used in factories at the end of the 19th century, it took another 30-40 years until Henry Ford found out how electricity can be put to best use in a factory setting. We're still missing the "Henry Ford moment" in AI. Otherwise, I'd agree: From a policy perspective, it seems that the focus on "superintelligence" is overblown: https://danielflorian.substack.com/p/we-should-prepare-for-mass-intelligence
Interested to see how the diffusion rule plays out in particular over the medium-long term...
Super interesting